Hi Everyone,
Members of this site will recall that I did a show on this theme just a couple of weeks ago. What I am doing on Youtube this evening is similar, although I am adding in more of a discussion on calculating the actual number of potential UFO craft, which I did not do in my Members-only video. If you remember, in that last video I focused on how much UFO traffic is there in the world, not how many craft. This time I will be discussing both. Plus a few other things as well.
I don’t think anyone else in ufology is asking this questions and when you think about it, they just seem so basic. Of course, this is a highly speculative subject and I am fully aware that at any given point in my own estimates that I may be wildly wrong. Frankly, I am quite sure this is the case. But this is my best shot currently to get a handle on this all-important question. I would surely be interested in some of the estimates that many of you might have.
The program will Premiere on Youtube at 8 p.m. Eastern time. Hope to see you there!
Richard
I would be there but participating in a live YouTube video is just too far for me of course I’m a member and your videos are part of the YouTube ecosystem but I can’t avoid that. I cannot actively participate with YouTube doo doo there sick censorship during the totalitarian response to covid
Certainly there are far more sightings than ever before . I think the reason Elizondo and Mellon and others who have come forward to admit the government and military are now acquiescing on this topic, albeit still on the shady side, is because they cannot control the sightings.
Decades ago, they could. Now more and more sightings off battleship and off our fighter pilots, who have to play tag with them. Think of the hundreds of sailors on those massive ships who have witnessed them. For the military now to play coy is not going to work.
How many are there? I would interested in hearing everyone’s answers on this one, because I haven’t a clue. How many millions of people in the world have seen one, but never reported it? Heck, too afraid to even tell family members!
My question is… are the aliens getting closer to ‘The Change,” and when and if that occurs, will the sightings appear exponentially? They are calling the shots, aren’t they?
Aliens are calling the shots, yes. I think the Change is happening now with the mass genome modification thru the vaccines.
A world UFO database maybe we should call it WUD and their tagline could be quote “WUD you report a UFO” I don’t know. I think it might be a good idea Richard I don’t have the resources to do something like that myself but there’s got to be somebody out there who does… anybody is free to use my idea and tagline just want to help the research.
Rosanne,
Elizondo, Mellon, et al, are part of a group of ex-pentagon employees and civilian scientists, who were directly involved in, and/or associated with the AAWSAP—BAASS program, AATIP (a non-official pseudonym originally given to AAWSAP by Harry Reid and later attributed to a separate pentagon intelligence group in charge of investigating military UFO incidents), and NIDS. By all accounts, the circumstances surrounding the shuttering of the “AAWSAP—-BAASS” program indicate that the reason why the ex-pentagon insiders (in particular Mellon and Elizondo) leaked out the UFO information and crude IR videos, and joined ranks with the likes of Tom Delong to form TTSA, was to force the pentagon, via public (and subsequently congressional) pressure, into restarting another UFO program, like AAWSAP—BAASS. They did this not in the name of government transparency and UFO disclosure, but simply as a means to an end. Nothing less, nothing more. Their motivation for doing this was not so much nefarious as much as it was pragmatic. Are these people looking out for the public’s interest? No, not in the sense we believe. They all know a hell of a lot more than what they have disclosed—a great portion of which they could divulge without affecting their clearance status, or being charged with divulging secret government information. They won’t divulge what else they know simply because it is not in their best interest to do so, or in the government’s best interest. Again, not for nefarious reasons, but they believe in what they are doing, and how they are doing it, for reasons they truly believe are in everyone’s greater interest.
This group of people, who I affectionately refer to as the “Agents of AAWSAP”, or AOA, essentially got what they wanted; i.e., enough public and congressional interest on the matter to restart the pentagon UFO investigation programs through the formation of AARO, and likely (and more importantly) through the formation of other “non-publicized” programs. As a result, they jettisoned their relationship with Delong and TTSA because they were no longer needed (and likely became a liability), and started fading from the public eye. With that said, and as the old saying goes, once you let the genie out of the bottle…..
Now it’s up to us, the public, and people like Richard, George Knapp, Steve Bassett, et al, to keep up the pressure on UFO transparency, otherwise if it were up to the government alone, the public would be plunged back into another UFO dark age, and this time we won’t have Toto, or the AOA, to pull back the curtain. And lest anyone one honestly believes that the newly minted AARO won’t end up being just another Project Blue Book, or that the NASA study won’t end up concluding with another Condon report… think again.
Just my humble opinion.
D.A.
With such a potentially large number of UAPs/UFOs visiting earth, the enormity of the government coverup is even more massive than most people imagine. And as momentous as the Tic Tac and Gimbal leaks were, they were pretty tame – something the public could swallow. Thousands of UFOs swarming around the earth and hovering over homes in the wee hours of the night doing God knows what takes it to a whole new and scary level for the population. It’s no wonder the gov’t is promoting a UFO coverup facelift to bury their lies.
One thought re the uniform distribution of activity assumption. Had I not read Ardy Sixkiller’s book, I would have agreed with your assumption that activity is relatively uniform around the world. But while thinking about the numbers after your RDM post on this subject a few weeks ago, and since, I began to think that:
– There is quite possibly a lot MORE visible or public activity down in the Central & South American area than up here in the USA. Virtually EVERY town she walked into had amazing and fairly recent and regular accounts.
– It might actually be less prevalent (relatively), or certainly much more stealthy, than in the airspaces of the major powers like USA, UK, France, Germany, China and Russia due quite frankly to the capabilities of these countries to knock their butts out of the sky.
Not quite sure how to quantify this into a model element, but it is going to have to be some kind of reverse heat map with activity LESS likely over more technologically advanced countries than over ones less so and with less military capabilities. Perhaps something simple like percentage of each countries respective GDP that goes to defense. The lower or smaller it is the higher the UFO activity is likely to be :)- I will have to think about this more.
Yes, these are valid considerations. Another one I could have mentioned but didn’t is that perhaps a population percentage breakdown is not really the best way to look at it. Perhaps one could estimate based on relative geographic distribution. In other words, while the US and Canada make up roughly 5 percent of the world’s population, their combined landmasses are more than that. On that basis, the U.S. occupies 6.45 percent of the world’s landmasses (including Antarctica). Canada occupies 6.76 of the Earth’s landmasses. Combined, that’s 13.21 percent. Of course, this ignores all USO activity, which is a big omission. If you factor in the entire surface of the world to include the oceans, then the U.S. and Canada occupy a combined 3.83 percent of the world’s surface and we are oddly back to the 1/20 ratio (more or less). At this point, I have no idea if UFOs are more active, less active, or equally active over oceans as they are over land. We know they are in the oceans but how many of them? There are two obvious reasons to be offered as to why there are far fewer ocean based sightings compared to land. One is that perhaps they just aren’t in the ocean as much as over land. Or (and I am sure this must be part of the answer) most of us simply don’t have access to information regarding oceanic UFO activity. But it’s very hard for me to estimate the intensity of oceanic activity. Anyway, the point in what I was trying to do wasn’t to nail down a definitive answer of course but to try out what some people call a WAG: Wild Ass Guess. 🙂
Richard I wish you would do a series on abductions but in regards to actual disappearances of abductees during the time that they’re supposedly in the possession of the the aliens. I see so many of these people that just state that they’ve been abducted taken out of their house all those kinds of things but has there been any documentation showing that the person literally is not where they’re supposed to be? In other words do they just disappear for that time frame? I have yet to hear that from anybody we just take them at their word in regards to the fact they’ve been taken. But is there evidence or is there any kind of research that shows these people literally disappear for this time frame because that is huge. Is it something that the Aliens are doing physically to us or is it something they’re doing with mind control and they’re actually producing some kind of holographic image for us. I mean what is really truly going on here and that’s an important question because if people are truly disappearing man we got a problem I wish you could also look into a little bit more Also in regards to implantations you know I know that Dr Lear had did a pretty good job of going ahead and exposing mplantations in people but I would love to see more research done or maybe a database of these objects and what the actual outcome of what these objects were. the scientific breakdown of what these objects would be exceptiona.l All I hear is a lot of speculation but I’ve not seen facts presented per se so I would love to see something on that too as well Richard. Anyway I just wanted to say thank you for all the videos you do fantastic content and keep up the good work
Hi William, I will have to check into this but I do think there are SOME cases in which an abductee was noted as missing during the time of their abduction. Although this is usually not the case. You are right in that we need to do a lot more work on this. I am very interested in abductions and that interest is growing, so I imagine I will be coming back to this.
Thanks Richard the importance of the truth on abductions is absolutely vital to humanity…our lives could literally be in the balance.
Re: “…evidence that abductees disappear…”.
Travis Walton
You can’t get any more verified and documented evidence than that surrounding the Walton case. Given today’s more open acceptance of UFO’s, I couldn’t even imagine what the fallout would be if this case were to happen in 2022, as opposed to 1974.
Oh yes! of course, lol. I can’t believe I didn’t even think of that case — although there are others, too.
William,
Yes, there are many accounts where the Abductee was noticed missing. There are cases in which they were ‘returned’ someplace other than where they were taken from, such as outside their house – which remained locked from the inside, and they (being without their keys) had to break in if no one was there to unlock the door. I personally know of such a case, in a close personal friend whose serial, transgenerational abductions have never been added to the Abductee accounts of any researcher in Ufology. He and his brother were both Abductees, and were once taken at the same time – from different coasts – and saw and spoke to each other *aboard the Alien craft*; they each believed it to have been a “dream”, until, in conversation, they realized that they both had full recall of the experience, corroborated to the smallest detail. Another relative recounted where a child who had previously been taken, had been confirmed asleep in an upstairs bedroom – in a house with only a front door – but came running up to his parents sitting on the front porch, from out of the nearby woods, describing a new Abduction he’d just been returned from. There was *no possible way* for the child to have left the house on foot, through the front door, without the parents on the porch having seen (and stopped him from going into the woods at night).
Numerous other accounts have soil or leaves/twigs from the yard turning up in the bedroom, dirty feet, clothes on backwards, even wearing clothes other than their own when the Abductee was returned. There are many accounts of other physical evidence. But the final, irrefutable proof are the demonstrably Alien microdevices surgically extracted from Abductees, which are composed of alloys with isotopic ratios not found on Earth. The spectroscopy is unequivocal, not subject to error in either capture or interpretation, and has NO other possible explanation. The Abductions are unarguably Real, Physical, and performed by Extraterrestrials. We can have all the physical evidence for the ETUFO presence we want, just by cutting more Implants out of Abductees. Why aren’t we doing so?
Thank you for clarifying and elaborating on these two subjects, abductions and implants. I just purchased Dr Lears book but still waiting on it to get here so pretty excited about it. Also I did see a Eyes on Cinema account of a young lady who was abducted and I believe was found a massive distance from her house and her friend witnessing the UFO as well. So the information you gave me just really drives home the fact that we as humans need to get to the bottom of these “Aliens” agendas in this process. Is David Jacobs correct? I hope not but time will only tell. I do feel better though with excellent researchers like yourself at the helm of this investigation so thank you. One day I will take the time to tell you about my own UFO experience just outside of Phoenix a week before the Phoenix lights experience on route from Phoenix to Tucson where my wife and myself and probably a dozen other cars on the freeway experienced it, it was quite incredible. It’s a bit long so I will save it for another time. Thanks Richard your the best.
A thought, why do the ETs not manufacture their implants here on Earth using metals with our own isotope ratios and avoid leaving the smoking gun evidence you’re referring to?
One reason might be is that their specific materials and their properties may be a necessary component to function of their technology.
I expect that they will, or have, whenever the stock they brought with them is fully utilized. The way to answer that question is to extract a Hundred (or more) new Alien Implants, and keep testing them all, looking for ones with terrestrial isotopic signatures. I’ve been arguing for this in Ufology for years. A better analysis of the signals they emit would lead to the detection of any facility on Earth where these implants are concentrated – such as perhaps facilities where they are now being made, or bases where the implantations are performed on Abductees.
Rather than WAG (LMAO I will have to use that) perhaps use GAS and Geographically Analyze Statistics 🤣 Have you ever seen a geographic plot of the the sightings data? I would be surprised if it had not been done. David Paulides did it in his Missing 411 series and found clusters of missing around National Parks and certain other areas. If the data in the sightings Databases can be exported it would be interesting to plot them geographically to see if such clusters exist…. with the one caveat being that he sanitized his data quite carefully before plotting. This could then be used for a better estimate of distribution…. or we could just ask NORAD for the data from their “Fast Walkers” DB No doubt they know exzactly where it is all happening :)-
Oh yes there are many geographic plots of UFO sightings. They tend to follow population density. Where there’s people, there are UFO sightings. What I really want is international data.
Ok. Something Press Digitate said above raised a question relative to implants. Are you aware of any projects that put a signal analyzer near implants to see if they are transmitting in any of our known/detectable frequencies?
I think 100s of UFOs is a reasonable estimate, however one arrives at it, but it could be 1000s, and I don’t think it’s less than 100s. Usually they do make all kinds of efforts to conceal themselves because they are a criminal operation, but sometimes they also make themselves very visible, appearing to 100s of people at a time, so there is a contradiction there, but maybe they’re 2 aspects of the same tactic, just like governments have covered up UFOs but sometimes have used the phenomenon to cover up some of their activities.
Now, we need to correlate these numbers with those of the physical Abductions. A decade or more ago, it was said that the solid cases, known among the files of all the top Abduction researchers, without overlap, was approximately 7,500, that had occurred since the 1955 baseline. (Like the Sightings Reports, all of these cases are just within the Anglosphere). It seems safe to assume, since there is no evidence that Abductions have abated in recent years, that there could be at least 10,000 today, if new researchers had picked up where Hopkins, Mack & Jacobs had left off. Still, they would be only more those whose “Memory Cap” failed; who knew (or suspected) that they had had an Abduction, and felt motivated to come forth, AND who came forth to people in Ufology (as opposed to just friends, family or their Parrish Priest).
If we estimate that for every Abductee ever recorded in the casefiles anywhere in Ufology, there were 10 more who didn’t want the hassle or noratiety, but who told others about it, that would be 100,000. If only One in Ten who is aware ever feels brave enough to discuss it with others, that would be 1,000,000. If we take the Anglosphere to be 500 Million out of 7.5 Billion, or 1/15th of the world population, that would suggest 15,000,000 Abductees, worldwide, for whom the Alien Memory Cap had failed. But it seems unlikely that it has a failure rate of more than, say, 20% – or why bother with it in the first place? That would make it 75,000,000 Abductees (not Abductions, but *Individuals*) since Holloman. Obviously, these assumptions could be a lot *MORE* generous. So the limiting factor would seem to be the logistics of the number of Craft & Crews available to perform the Abductions. Of course, additional Hybrid+Hybrid sexual reproduction (or covert IVF) among those already “Landed”, cannot be ruled out, and some accounts suggest that this has, in fact, happened – significantly.
How do we fit these numbers (or something like them) into the Craft/Sorties estimates? Three Abductions per Sortie? How would that work, plugged into the model? I believe that such a comprehensive model can be worked out, from the numbers we have. I think its important that we work and refine this overall model, for its predictive value. We also have to consider the possibility that the Aliens might just could have a teleportation capability as robust as the Star Trek “Transporter”, which would enable them to perform the Abductions *From Orbit*, without any associated Sightings. If small Scout Craft are shuttling Victims & Abductors between bedrooms and larger Service Craft in orbit for the procedures to be performed (since most Abduction accounts depict larger Craft, holding multiple other Abdductees), then the *duration* of the Abductions, along with the number of Craft/Sorties, could suggest the locations, size and number of such Service Craft.
Getting rid of all this flying “Infrastructure” is why we had the COVID Plandemic in the first place. Once IVF Clinics pop up like Starbucks to deal with the Virus/Vaxx “Infertility Crisis”, the Aliens can “scale” this whole operation by like Three-Orders-of-Magnitude, on the ground, in downtown streetcorner storefronts, producing all the Hybrid Containers they want, and nobody will think anything of it. Until the GMO Hellspawn are old enough to borrow the car, at least…
Then becomes the question of Hybrid numbers on Earth resulting from that level of Abduction prevalence.
If there have been 75,000,000 Abductees since Holloman, that is greater than 1,100,000 per year, on average (i.e. “3 per Sortie”). If we make very conservative assumption that the germplasm from each Abductee only manages to account for 0.5 *passable* Hybrids during the course of their lifetime (either surrogately “Mothering” or “Fathering” the Hybrid), regardless of the number of times they’ve been abducted for germplasm harvesting, or the numbers of Eggs or Sperm recovered, then we would estimate 37,500,000 Hybrids produced through Abductions since 1955. This is approximately 560,000 Hybrid births per year, worldwide. For comparison, this roughly equals the number of Scientists and Engineers that the United States produces each year. Obviously, if these were concentrated in the most advanced countries, a half of that figure would be quite sufficient to build professional hierarchies over the decades which – given their preternatural means of communication, organization and coordination – would enable them to easily gain control any such profession; be it Medicine, Law or Physics.
As cited above, with the increasing Hybrid population, it is probable that Hybrids are mated to produce next-gen Hybrid Offspring, whose numbers would not be reflected in this total. Of course, if the average success rate is >1 passable Hybrid per Human Male/Female Abductee Pair (paired randomly for IVF, not abducted as couples), then the incursion/infestation could be substantially more prevalent. But, this is where the Sightings Model imposes practical limits on the Abduction & Hybrid Models. As I’ve previously argued, the Aliens’ problem is fundamentally one of the limitations of Logistics on their discrete operations here. The Germplasm they are probably harvesting could account for many more Hybrid Containers than the number of probable Sorties. Either a majority are “non-passable”, or they could have ways of introducing them into society which do not involve individual shuttle missions in Craft. Secret means of “Adoption” of Hybrid Children into the families of the Human Elite (i.e. “Epstein’s Island”) could be one such conduit into Human society.
I built a model for estimating the number of craft needed to conduct X abductions per year. One can enter X and out pops the number of craft required. My X came from the Roper Poll and is quite large.
You can download the explanatory paper and the associated spreadsheet from my blog:
https://iphemeris.com/blog/2021/12/26/milab-analysis-testing-the-theory-that-all-alien-abductions-are-milab/
This was initially done to show the ridiculousness of Greer’s assertion that all abductions are MILAB, but the model is still valid to estimate the number of craft required to conduct X abductions.
It probably needs modification for mission duration because many accounts seem to indicate the abductors fly around and pick up multiple abductees and take them someplace but it could be easily modified.
Probably I should make a modified version to not assume human craft limitations and estimate number of abductions.
If ETs can personally lead us thru actual solid walls, it’s not a stretch to think they might also have transporter technology that would obviate the need for nocturnal visits and the like. This is a head-scratcher for me.
A world UFO database maybe we should call it WUD and their tagline could be quote “WUD you report a UFO” I don’t know. I think it might be a good idea Richard I don’t have the resources to do something like that myself but there’s got to be somebody out there who does… anybody is free to use my idea and tagline just want to help the research.
Swarms of UFOs reported over Ukraine? Hoax? Fake news? Drones? Hmm… It seems to me that people in the Ukraine should have a pretty good handle on identifying drones by now. If not a hoax, fake news, natural phenomon or “man-made” phenomeon, then could it be one of our ET or UT friends coming to take a look? And if so, is their presence in the Ukraine due to mere coincidence, interest in our warlike nature, a warning of some sort…or is their presence a sign of something more ominous? What say you?
What is your take on the Pentagon’s refusal to release more of their UFO footage? If it’s video, then what secret, or sensitive US, technology could it reveal that would threaten national security? Or are the images feared to be so graphic that they might be concerned by what the public’s reaction would be to something that is clearly not of this world (and has been invading our air space with impunity)? From a psychological satandpoint, fuzzy black and white IR images are abstract, almost unreal. Clear video images, on the other hand, especially from a credible source, are real…perhaps too real. Revealing such videos would be akin to official disclosure, no? It’s easy for most of the earth’s population to accept the notion that the universe is filled with intelligent beings…out there, but here? Even if we say we are ready, are we? Perhaps we earthlings need a little jolt of ultra-reality to get us off this current path of potential self-destuction. What say you?
D.A.
I don’t think the Pentagon has ever been in the business of UFO openness. I still believe that everything that has come out in the last five years is despite the Pentagon’s wishes, not because of it. Leaks and pressures became too much to ignore and they are handling all this quite well viz the MSM. Of course, it’s easy when that same MSM is so corrupt.
Richard,
Yes, I agree. We know that everything that has come out in the last 5 years was despite the Pentagon’s wishes—we can thank the Agents of AAWSAP (AOA) for what little has come out. Clearly, the Pentagon’s refusal to disclose the videos per the FOIA request is evidence of their stance on this matter. Case in point: their rationale to not disclose the videos based on harming national security is only valid if there was something inherent in the videos that 1) would divulge some type of secret U.S. technology relative to the image capturing capabilities involved; 2) the videos captured a military response to the presence of these objects that the Pentagon doesn’t want an adversary to see for tactical and technological reasons; or 3) the content of the videos are simply too graphic from a psychological standpoint to show the public at large—whether that is ultimately due to something bad that happened involving the military’s response to the objects or that the detailed images in these videos would simply show irrefutable proof of something from another world.
If it were just a matter of number 1 or 2 above, there would be NOTHING to prevent the Pentagon from giving the public a detailed verbal description of the actual objects shown in these videos without divulging any secret U.S. technology or tactical capabilities. For that matter, there is NOTHING that would prevent them from providing simple still-shots of the objects from one or more of the videos (as opposed to just showing us fuzzy, nondescript, iPhone pictures and videos taken by a pilot or someone standing on the deck of a boat). Nothing that is, unless the real reason they don’t show us the actual videos, or give us a more detailed description of what is in them, has something more to do with number 3 above. I suspect it does, and that is why Rep. Gallagher introduced the language that he did in the IAA, and why the DNI renamed AOIMSG to AARO.
In a nutshell, the Pentagon’s response to the FOIA request was pure and utter bullshit. People should be up in arms over this. The MSM should be all over this as well, but they are not. Instead, they are more concerned with what outfit Prince Harry wore to the Queen’s funeral—nothing against our nation’s mother country or the crown, but are we that petty as a species that we need such a diversion from reality in order to cope with a world that is literally on fire? Moreover, if the AOA, were in fact truly concerned with public disclosure and UFO transparency by the government, as opposed to being more concerned with wanting to reinstate a new version of the AAWSAP—BAASS program (which they got), then they would be all over this as well, but they are not. In the immortal words of Paul Simon: “…where have you gone, Lou Elizondo, our nation turns its lonely eyes to you…”. Pffft….nothing.
D.A.
exactly.
I have no doubt that there is a significant amount of UFOs operating around the world.I have done a bit of research on my own, although nowhere near the extensive research you have done Richard; but it’s obvious that these beings are here in spades ,and in my opinion mainly to abduct people. With these large numbers of UFOs Richard you presented here ,it brings me back to a lecture you had a couple of weeks ago pertaining to where are these crafts being manufactured? Where are all these crafts being kept? We know some of these objects are deep within our oceans,but where are the rest coming from and going to? These objects are being seen on a daily basis,I find it hard to believe that all these crafts have bases on Earth 🌎. My next guest would be Mars if they want to stay close by ,and not travel extreme light years to and from their home world. But again I am just guessing. And why are all these beings working in secret,we know there are more than one race of et’s operating here ,and not one of them has gone rogue and made open contact with us ,I truly wonder why is that . Great lecture Richard as always ☺️.
ln regards to recent sightings of UFO/UAP objects you should look here:
https://interestingengineering.com/culture/kyiv-ufos-in-the-sky-astronomers-claim?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=content&utm_campaign=organic&utm_content=Sep14&read_full=1
Ukrainian astronomers and scientist are actually studying the phenomenon and reporting strong activity while this war is going on. Not sure what it all means. But am sure of one thing, ‘The Duran’ has no clue outside of podcasting Russian propaganda and disinformation.
One more observation… I just read a few days ago that astronomers in and around Kyiv are seeing lots of UFOs in the skies. Of course, they are not speculating that they are Trufos, but they could be.
Richard,
You are attempting to perform Traffic Analysis for the entire world. I don’t think that this is a question that can be answered by a civilian organization or maybe even a military organization. The technology to monitor the Earth via satellite exists and has existed for a long time, but as far as I know, it is dedicated to detecting missile launches or monitor the Earth’s weather or measure magnetic fields. There could be a network of satellites that is dedicated to monitoring UFOs, but they would be part of a USAP. We will never know how many UAPs are detected by satellite. We will never see the imagery. Even if the government had a network of satellites that could capture every UFO, there is an unknown number of UFOs that exist in higher dimensions. I really don’t think it is a question that can be answered. I’m more concerned with the reasons why that ETs are here. I read contactee and abductee books to learn the reasons why the ETs are here. It is a matter of whether you can accept the accounts as genuine. A better question would be how many UFO bases there are on this Earth. I think quite a few!